Archive for July, 2009

U.S. Economy Contracts 1% in Quarter 2

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Economic shrinkage is less than expected

The U.S. economy contracted by 1% in Quarter 2 of 2009. However, this is a smaller contraction than expected. Analysts had expected more shrinkage in the economy, reports the Financial Times:

Wall Street analysts were expecting a contraction of 1.5 per cent, but the downward revision from the original previous quarter estimate of a 5.5 per cent drop dampened optimism. …

Even though it’s negative, we’re not seeing the horrendous numbers we saw earlier in the year or in early 2008,” said Brian Bethune, an economist at IHS Global Insight.

The news has stoked some optimism. Even though the stock market opened lower, it has since moved into positive territory, heading higher as the news sinks in. The U.S. dollar, on the other hand, is moving lower.

See Also

Trade Idea: GBP/USD - Buy at 1.6470

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Despite the intra-day retreat from 1.6575, the British pound found renewed buying interest exactly at the Tenkan-Sen (at 1.6474) and has rebounded again (our long entry missed by 4 points) , however, it is still necessary to see a break of 1.6587 resistance to confirm recent upmove from 1.5983 has…

Trade Idea: USD/CHF - Sell at 1.0850

Friday, July 31st, 2009

The sharp retreat in New York morning has dampened our early bullishness and signals the rise from 1.0622 has ended at 1.0935 and consolidation with downside bias is seen for further fall towards 1.0700 (just below current level of the Ichimoku cloud bottom), below would extend towards 1.0653 support, however,…

Trade Idea: USD/JPY - Buy at 94.45 O.C.O. Sell at 96.25

Friday, July 31st, 2009

As dollar has retreated after failing to break resistance at 95.89, suggesting consolidation below there would take place and pullback to the Kijun-Sen (now at 94.96) is likely, however, the Ichimoku cloud top (now at 94.51) should attract renewed buying interest and bring another rally later today or early next…

Trade Idea: EUR/USD - Sell at 1.4250

Friday, July 31st, 2009

The rebound from 1.4007 is a bit stronger than our expectation, suggesting a stronger correction of the fall from 1.4305 is now in progress and gain to 1.4250 cannot be ruled out, however, we still believe the resistance at 1.4305 would hold today and bring another retreat later (probably early…

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, July 31st, 2009

As discussed before, an intraday low should be in place at 1.4007 and some more recovery might be seen. But after all, risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.4303 resistance holds. Below 1.4007 will target 1.3820 support next. Break there will revive the case that EUR/USD has…

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, July 31st, 2009

As discussed before, an intraday low should be in place at 1.4007 and some more recovery might be seen. But after all, risk will remain on the downside as long as 1.4303 resistance holds. Below 1.4007 will target 1.3820 support next. Break there will revive the case that EUR/USD has…

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains cautiously on the upside with 1.6457 minor support intact. Break of 1.6852 will confirm rise from 1.5983 has resumed and should target 1.6742 high next. On the downside, below 1.6457 minor support will turn intraday outlook neutral again and indicate that consolidation from 1.6582 is…

GBP/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Intraday bias in GBP/USD remains cautiously on the upside with 1.6457 minor support intact. Break of 1.6852 will confirm rise from 1.5983 has resumed and should target 1.6742 high next. On the downside, below 1.6457 minor support will turn intraday outlook neutral again and indicate that consolidation from 1.6582 is…

USD/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, July 31st, 2009

Intraday bias in USD/JPY remains on the upside with 94.81 minor support intact. Rise from 91.73 is still expected to continue towards 100% projection of 91.73 to 94.78 from 93.07 at 96.12 next. Break will bring a test of near term channel resistance of 96.55. On the downside, below 94.81…

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