Archive for May 8th, 2009

This Week’s Market Outlook

Friday, May 8th, 2009

The USD succumbed this past week, falling across the board, as stocks and commodities continued to strengthen as incoming data continues to suggest the worst is over in the current downturn. Employment data in Australia and Canada surprised to the upside, when further job losses were expected, and those currencies…

Bank Stress Tests: 10 Banks Need More Capital

Friday, May 8th, 2009

Stress tests shrugged off by financial markets

The results of the banks stress tests undertaken by the Treasury Department have been officially released (yesterday), and they aren’t especially surprising. 10 of the 19 biggest banks surveyed have been found to need capital. However, these banks aren’t in such bad shape that they aren’t capable of surviving. Combined, the 10 banks are expected to need close to $75 billion. The banks that the government says are in need of capital include:

  1. Bank of America, $33.9 billion.
  2. Wells Fargo, $13.7 billion.
  3. GMAC, $11.5 billion.
  4. Citigroup, $5.5 billion.
  5. Regions Financial, $2.5 billion.
  6. SunTrust, $2.2 billion.
  7. Morgan Stanley, $1.8 billion.
  8. KeyCorp, $1.8 billion.
  9. Fifth Third, $1.1 billion.
  10. PNC, $600 million.

These banks are expected to create plans to raise capital in order shore themselves up. Implementation deadline is November 9, 2009. A great deal of this was expected, and so the financial markets reacted by largely shrugging the results off. Additionally, things aren’t that bad (stress tests have been analyzed in such a way as to present a reasonably sound picture while issuing warnings), and investors are certain that none of these banks will be allowed to fail.

See Also

Weekly Market Wrap Up

Friday, May 8th, 2009

In currencies, traders ignored the EU Commission’s downgrades of its 2009 and 2010 GDP forecasts for the entire 27-member Union and the smaller Euro Zone, instead focusing on continued improvements in economic data from emerging market countries and PMI readings from around the world. Better PMI data in Europe and…

The Weekly Bottom Line

Friday, May 8th, 2009

After a long winter of dismal economic news, markets this week continued to warm up to signs of spring. And while uncertainty remains, the release of the U.S. stress test gave hope that the worst of the shocks to the financial system may be behind us. The rally was also…

FX Briefing: Downside Risks to the Economy Prevail

Friday, May 8th, 2009

Movements on the forex markets are still mainly determined by market participants current take on global economic risks. Stock markets are one important indicator of risk assessment, and there the sentiment has been positive over the past two weeks. The rebound in stock prices has carried the Dax, for instance,…

Canadian Dollar Strengthens Against Most Majors

Friday, May 8th, 2009

In early deals on Friday, the Canadian dollar traded higher against its U.S., Japanese and European counterparts as the crude oil prices rose above $57 a barrel, remaining near a six-month high, lifted by hopes of an economic recovery that could boost falling world oil demand.

EUR/JPY Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, May 8th, 2009

Short term outlook in EUR/JPY remains bullish with 129.85 support intact. Current rise from 124.35 is still in favor to extend further towards 137.38 resistance and above. Nevertheless, we’re still expecting strong resistance near to 50% retracement of 169.96 to 112.10 at 141.03 and bring reversal. On the downside, below…

Dollar Shows Mixed Trading Against Majors

Friday, May 8th, 2009

In early deals on Friday, the dollar showed mixed trading against its major counterparts as investors turned their attention to jobs report due later in the day for clues about the health of the U.S. economy, after bank stress test results removed a major uncertainty in financial markets.

EUR/USD Mid-Day Outlook

Friday, May 8th, 2009

EUR/USD’s rise resumes in early US session and reaches as high as 1.3515 so far. At this point, intraday bias remains on the upside as long as 1.3340 minor support holds. As mentioned before, we’re still favoring the case that correction from 1.3737 has completed at 1.2884 already. Hence, further…

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